Demand Forecasting Manager

BAT is evolving at pace into a global multi-category business. Our purpose is to create A Better Tomorrow™ by Building a Smokeless World.
To achieve our ambition, we are looking for colleagues who are ready to join us on this journey! Tomorrow can’t wait, let’s shape it together!

This role is responsible to co-create & lead the delivery of above market demand forecasting capabilities, working closely in collaboration with cross-functional teams in the end markets & DRBUs. Apart from that, the candidate should champion the development, deployment, embedding & ongoing improvement of the Demand Forecasting Initiatives including transformation in People, Process, Tech & Data. This role is also expected to lead the development and delivery of Demand Forecasting loss analytics and reporting to identify commercial improvement opportunities for the business. Lastly, this role would develop & lead the continuous improvement initiatives to improve DF to be able to identify and better forecast for optimized opportunities.

Your key responsibilities will include:

• Lead Demand Forecasting Community of Practice, supporting the deployment of Management Information and tools supporting Demand Forecasting.
• Co-Create the ideal interaction model for demand forecasting between Global & DRBU/EM Functions in Supply Chain and Commercial functions. To deliver optimum business results with minimum losses as well as maximizing profits through opportunity capturing.
• Lead the analysis, deployment, and maintenance of statistical models for forecasting, develop subject matter expertise in statistical forecasting.
• Deliver strong insights based on statistics & market information to the Commercial teams to improve DF to capture market opportunities without compromise on the accuracy of forecasting.
• Drive knowledge sharing and collaboration between Demand Forecasting, Marketing teams and the wider Supply Chain Community to support the business plans for growth scenarios with robust trigger mechanisms while maintaining a strong baseline.
• Manage central co-ordination of Demand Forecasting Loss Analysis reporting, tracking and Continuous Improvement plans.
• Work alongside markets to turn judgemental insights into quantitative models through the identification of causal factors, data sets and models wherever possible.
• Maintain, develop, and deliver capability training to support statistical and causal forecasting as part of the Education and Training curriculum.
• Develop through benchmarking and business need the Causal Model process, leveraging learning from Proof of Concepts and technology partners.
• Support the cascade, coordination, and delivery of Global and local improvement initiatives.
• Drive and support benchmarking across DF from a process, organisation, capabilities, technology and data perspective.

What are we looking for?

• Demand Forecasting Professional with min. 5-6 years’ experience in planning managerial role.
• Results focused, structured approach, strong analytical & project management skills.
• Experience with Demand Forecasting system, ideally Kinaxis and training in demand forecasting methodologies and process.
• Assertive & collaborative style; able to work across multiple EM’s, cultures & time zones.
• Strong influencing skills with the desire to challenge the status quo & drive change.
• Knowledge of SAP & supporting the delivery of Supply Chain & Demand Planning technology an advantage.
• Experience working on Machine Learning/AI projects
• University (Master’s) degree, preferably in statistics of demand planning
• Team Management skills are preferred

What we offer you?
•    We offer a market leading annual performance bonus (subject to eligibility)
•    Our range of benefits varies by country and includes diverse health plans, initiatives for work-life balance, transportation support, and a flexible holiday plan with additional incentives
•    Your journey with us isn't limited by boundaries; it's propelled by your aspirations. Join us at BAT and become a part of an environment that thrives on internal advancement, where your career progression isn't just a statement – it's a reality we're eager to build together. Seize the opportunity and own your development; your next chapter starts here.
•    You'll have access to online learning platforms and personalized growth programs to nurture your leadership skills
•    We prioritise continuous improvement within a transformative environment, preparing for ongoing changes

WHY JOIN BAT?
We’re one of the few companies named as a Global Top Employer by the Top Employers Institute – certified in offering excellent employee conditions.

Collaboration, inclusion and partnership underpin everything we do here at BAT. We are looking forward to enabling every individual to thrive, regardless of gender, sexual orientation, marital or civil partnership status, gender reassignment, race, religion or belief, colour, nationality, ethnic or national origin, disability, age, skills, experience, education, socio-economic and professional background, veteran status, perspectives and thinking styles. We know that embracing talent from all backgrounds is what makes us stronger and best prepared to meet our business goals.

We see the career breaks as opportunities not obstacles. Through The Global Returners program, we support professionals looking to restart their careers after an extended absence from the workforce (e.g. time out caring for family, parental leave, national service, sabbatical and/or starting an own venture).

Come bring your difference and see what is possible for you at BAT. Learn more about our culture and our award winning employee experience here.

If you require any reasonable adjustments or accommodations to help you perform at your best during the recruitment process, you are encouraged to notify us. We are fully committed to support you by making appropriate arrangements for you to demonstrate your full potential.